Is it time to subscribe to a printer service from HP?

Ever since my dad brought home an...

What’s the best way of buying a phone today?

How did you buy your latest phone?...

MWC: What device highlights did you miss?

So, early last week I predicted that...

Mobile downloads will hit 20 billion per year by 2014

2014 is sufficiently far enough away for your average analyst to avoid being held to account.

That said, I think the figure of 20 billion application downloads per year, per planet, should be pretty accurate.

So Apple have done 1.5 billion in about a year, with, what… 40-odd million devices out there (including iPod Touch). So… 20 billion… well, you know what, that doesn’t seem that much, if you sit and think about it.

There’s a lot of future gazing involved, eh?

Say for example that the fabled 400 million Nokia devices that are meant to have access to Ovi Store by 2010 actually materialise. Let’s make that 500m users. Assume each of them downloads what… 24 applications per year? 2 per month?

That’s 12 billion downloads a year. For just Nokia.

Yeah.

I think fag packet mathematics along with a pinch of salt support this prediction by Juniper Research. Here’s the meat from their announcement:

New market projections from Juniper Research have shown that the number of mobile application downloads will approach almost 20 billion per annum by 2014. The increasing deployment of app stores targeted at mass market handsets, allied to enhancements in storefront interfaces and an ever increasing array of titles appealing to wider demographics have been the main factors driving this market.

The Mobile Applications research found that the remarkable success of the App Store – which passed 1 billion downloads in April – has led a raft of vendors, OS providers and operators to launch their own storefronts, with more poised to launch over the coming months.

8 COMMENTS

  1. I like that figure is a bit off, if the iphone did 1.5 in one year that number is gonna be alot more by 2014

  2. I like that figure is a bit off, if the iphone did 1.5 in one year that number is gonna be alot more by 2014

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

Recently Published

Is it time to subscribe to a printer service from HP?

Ever since my dad brought home an HP LaserJet printer (version 3, if memory serves), I have been printing with an HP. Over the...

What’s the best way of buying a phone today?

How did you buy your latest phone? I'm asking because I'm thinking about what I should be doing. When I was living in Oman, I...

MWC: What device highlights did you miss?

So, early last week I predicted that next to nothing from Mobile World Congress would break through into the mainstream media. I was right,...

How Wireless Will Pave the Path to Neobank Profitability

I'm delighted to bring you an opinion piece from Rafa Plantier at Gigs.com. I think it's particularly relevant given the recent eSIM news from...

An end of an era: Vodafone UK turns off 3G services

I thought it was worthwhile highlighting this one from the Vodafone UK team. For so long - for what feels like years, seeing the...

Mobile World Congress: Did the mainstream media notice?

I resolved this year to make sure I wrote something - anything - about Mobile World Congress, the huge mobile industry trade show taking...